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College Football Weekly Picks

Our pick for every College Football game this week, two ways: who wins the game outright, and who covers the spread. 74 games on the card right now. Built for office pools, family pools and group chats. Nothing to sign up for.

Both leaguesNFL
Pick type
Order

What the percentage means

Straight-up probability here is market-implied. The betting market sets a point spread on every game, and that spread is the only thing we feed in. The market is efficient at picking outright winners and we have not shown we can beat it at that, so this is us reading the market clearly, not us claiming to know better.

What the spread pick means

At the market number, a spread is built so both sides are close to a coin flip. We do not have a proven edge against it, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. A pool card needs a side for every game, so we list the side the market prices as stronger and we tell you that is what it is.

Plenty of pools lock their spreads in the middle of the week and never move them again. We tested whether that gap is worth something and it is not: across 166 games, freezing the line changed which side covered in 2 of them. Even among the games whose number moved two points or more, it changed the answer once in ten. If your pool uses its own numbers, put them in below and we will flag the few games where your number really is different. On the rest it is the same bet.

Lines as of Sep 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM CT. 2 of these are close to a coin flip.

Syracuse Orange at Pittsburgh Panthers

Thu, Sep 17 · 6:30 PM CT · Pittsburgh Panthers -10 · total 51.5
27pts
Straight up
Pittsburgh Panthers
73% market-implied win probability Clear favorite
Against the spread
Pittsburgh Panthers -10
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Miami Hurricanes at Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Fri, Sep 18 · 6:30 PM CT · Wake Forest Demon Deacons +20.5 · total 55.5
43pts
Straight up
Miami Hurricanes
89% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Miami Hurricanes -20.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Houston Cougars at Texas Tech Red Raiders

Fri, Sep 18 · 7:00 PM CT · Texas Tech Red Raiders -7.5 · total 53
24pts
Straight up
Texas Tech Red Raiders
68% market-implied win probability Clear favorite
Against the spread
Texas Tech Red Raiders -7.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Portland State Vikings at Oregon Ducks

Fri, Sep 18 · 9:30 PM CT · Oregon Ducks -57 · total 68
74pts
Straight up
Oregon Ducks
99% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Oregon Ducks -57
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Delaware Blue Hens

Sat, Sep 19 · 10:30 AM CT · Delaware Blue Hens -4.5 · total 57.5
17pts
Straight up
Delaware Blue Hens
61% market-implied win probability Slight favorite
Against the spread
Delaware Blue Hens -4.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Akron Zips at Minnesota Golden Gophers

Sat, Sep 19 · 11:00 AM CT · Minnesota Golden Gophers -23.5 · total 49.5
46pts
Straight up
Minnesota Golden Gophers
92% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Minnesota Golden Gophers -23.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Bowling Green Falcons at Iowa State Cyclones

Sat, Sep 19 · 11:00 AM CT · Iowa State Cyclones -23.5 · total 44
45pts
Straight up
Iowa State Cyclones
92% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Iowa State Cyclones -23.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Buffalo Bulls at Penn State Nittany Lions

Sat, Sep 19 · 11:00 AM CT · Penn State Nittany Lions -41 · total 50
68pts
Straight up
Penn State Nittany Lions
99% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Penn State Nittany Lions -41
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Georgia Bulldogs at Arkansas Razorbacks

Sat, Sep 19 · 11:00 AM CT · Arkansas Razorbacks +24.5 · total 54.5
51pts
Straight up
Georgia Bulldogs
93% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Georgia Bulldogs -24.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Kansas Jayhawks at Arizona State Sun Devils

Sat, Sep 19 · 11:00 AM CT · Arizona State Sun Devils -5.5 · total 50.5
18pts
Straight up
Arizona State Sun Devils
63% market-implied win probability Clear favorite
Against the spread
Arizona State Sun Devils -5.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Kent State Golden Flashes at Ohio State Buckeyes

Sat, Sep 19 · 11:00 AM CT · Ohio State Buckeyes -52.5 · total 59.5
73pts
Straight up
Ohio State Buckeyes
99% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Ohio State Buckeyes -52.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Mercer Bears at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Sat, Sep 19 · 11:00 AM CT · Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -39 · total 59.5
66pts
Straight up
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
99% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -39
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

North Carolina Tar Heels at Clemson Tigers

Sat, Sep 19 · 11:00 AM CT · Clemson Tigers -3.5 · total 43.5
14pts
Straight up
Clemson Tigers
58% market-implied win probability Slight favorite
Against the spread
Clemson Tigers -3.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

North Texas Mean Green at Texas State Bobcats

Sat, Sep 19 · 11:00 AM CT · Texas State Bobcats -3 · total 63.5
8pts
Straight up
Texas State Bobcats
57% market-implied win probability Slight favorite
Against the spread
Texas State Bobcats -3
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Tulane Green Wave at Kansas State Wildcats

Sat, Sep 19 · 11:00 AM CT · Kansas State Wildcats -20.5 · total 49.5
42pts
Straight up
Kansas State Wildcats
89% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Kansas State Wildcats -20.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Eastern Michigan Eagles at Wisconsin Badgers

Sat, Sep 19 · 11:30 AM CT · Wisconsin Badgers -24 · total 45.5
49pts
Straight up
Wisconsin Badgers
93% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Wisconsin Badgers -24
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

NC State Wolfpack at Vanderbilt Commodores

Sat, Sep 19 · 11:45 AM CT · Vanderbilt Commodores -3.5 · total 50.5
13pts
Straight up
Vanderbilt Commodores
58% market-implied win probability Slight favorite
Against the spread
Vanderbilt Commodores -3.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Wyoming Cowboys at Central Michigan Chippewas

Sat, Sep 19 · 12:00 PM CT · Central Michigan Chippewas -1.5 · total 39.5
2pts
Straight up
Central Michigan Chippewas
54% market-implied win probability Close to a coin flip
Against the spread
Central Michigan Chippewas -1.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Maine Black Bears at Boston College Eagles

Sat, Sep 19 · 1:00 PM CT · Boston College Eagles -38 · total 53.5
64pts
Straight up
Boston College Eagles
99% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Boston College Eagles -38
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Southern Illinois Salukis at Illinois Fighting Illini

Sat, Sep 19 · 1:00 PM CT · Illinois Fighting Illini -39 · total 54.5
65pts
Straight up
Illinois Fighting Illini
99% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Illinois Fighting Illini -39
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Temple Owls at Toledo Rockets

Sat, Sep 19 · 2:00 PM CT · Toledo Rockets -6 · total 50.5
19pts
Straight up
Toledo Rockets
64% market-implied win probability Clear favorite
Against the spread
Toledo Rockets -6
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Duquesne Dukes at Washington State Cougars

Sat, Sep 19 · 2:30 PM CT · Washington State Cougars -38 · total 53.5
63pts
Straight up
Washington State Cougars
99% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Washington State Cougars -38
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Florida State Seminoles at Alabama Crimson Tide

Sat, Sep 19 · 2:30 PM CT · Alabama Crimson Tide -19.5 · total 48.5
40pts
Straight up
Alabama Crimson Tide
88% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Alabama Crimson Tide -19.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Kentucky Wildcats at Texas A&M Aggies

Sat, Sep 19 · 2:30 PM CT · Texas A&M Aggies -16.5 · total 50
33pts
Straight up
Texas A&M Aggies
84% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Texas A&M Aggies -16.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Miami (OH) RedHawks at Cincinnati Bearcats

Sat, Sep 19 · 2:30 PM CT · Cincinnati Bearcats -14.5 · total 49.5
32pts
Straight up
Cincinnati Bearcats
81% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Cincinnati Bearcats -14.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

SMU Mustangs at Louisville Cardinals

Sat, Sep 19 · 2:30 PM CT · Louisville Cardinals -1.5 · total 59.5
1pts
Straight up
Louisville Cardinals
54% market-implied win probability Close to a coin flip
Against the spread
Louisville Cardinals -1.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Stonehill Skyhawks at UMass Minutemen

Sat, Sep 19 · 2:30 PM CT · UMass Minutemen -33.5 · total 49.5
57pts
Straight up
UMass Minutemen
98% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
UMass Minutemen -33.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

USC Trojans at Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Sat, Sep 19 · 2:30 PM CT · Rutgers Scarlet Knights +24 · total 59.5
48pts
Straight up
USC Trojans
93% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
USC Trojans -24
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Utah State Aggies at Utah Utes

Sat, Sep 19 · 2:30 PM CT · Utah Utes -28 · total 56.5
54pts
Straight up
Utah Utes
96% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Utah Utes -28
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

UTEP Miners at Michigan Wolverines

Sat, Sep 19 · 2:30 PM CT · Michigan Wolverines -35 · total 49.5
60pts
Straight up
Michigan Wolverines
98% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Michigan Wolverines -35
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Ball State Cardinals at Liberty Flames

Sat, Sep 19 · 3:00 PM CT · Liberty Flames -14.5 · total 49.5
31pts
Straight up
Liberty Flames
81% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Liberty Flames -14.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Baylor Bears

Sat, Sep 19 · 3:00 PM CT · Baylor Bears -19.5 · total 53
39pts
Straight up
Baylor Bears
88% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Baylor Bears -19.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Northern Iowa Panthers at Iowa Hawkeyes

Sat, Sep 19 · 3:00 PM CT · Iowa Hawkeyes -39.5 · total 49
67pts
Straight up
Iowa Hawkeyes
99% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Iowa Hawkeyes -39.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Stanford Cardinal at Duke Blue Devils

Sat, Sep 19 · 3:00 PM CT · Duke Blue Devils -9.5 · total 51
26pts
Straight up
Duke Blue Devils
72% market-implied win probability Clear favorite
Against the spread
Duke Blue Devils -9.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Indiana Hoosiers

Sat, Sep 19 · 3:00 PM CT · Indiana Hoosiers -44.5 · total 60.5
71pts
Straight up
Indiana Hoosiers
99% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Indiana Hoosiers -44.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Mississippi State Bulldogs at South Carolina Gamecocks

Sat, Sep 19 · 3:15 PM CT · South Carolina Gamecocks -4 · total 58.5
15pts
Straight up
South Carolina Gamecocks
59% market-implied win probability Slight favorite
Against the spread
South Carolina Gamecocks -4
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Southeastern Louisiana Lions at UL Monroe Warhawks

Sat, Sep 19 · 3:30 PM CT · UL Monroe Warhawks -11 · total 48
29pts
Straight up
UL Monroe Warhawks
75% market-implied win probability Clear favorite
Against the spread
UL Monroe Warhawks -11
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Charlotte 49ers at Appalachian State Mountaineers

Sat, Sep 19 · 5:00 PM CT · Appalachian State Mountaineers -17.5 · total 51.5
37pts
Straight up
Appalachian State Mountaineers
86% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Appalachian State Mountaineers -17.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

East Carolina Pirates at Old Dominion Monarchs

Sat, Sep 19 · 5:00 PM CT · Old Dominion Monarchs -3 · total 49
7pts
Straight up
Old Dominion Monarchs
57% market-implied win probability Slight favorite
Against the spread
Old Dominion Monarchs -3
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Florida International Panthers at Florida Atlantic Owls

Sat, Sep 19 · 5:00 PM CT · Florida Atlantic Owls -7 · total 62.5
22pts
Straight up
Florida Atlantic Owls
66% market-implied win probability Clear favorite
Against the spread
Florida Atlantic Owls -7
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Marshall Thundering Herd at Missouri State Bears

Sat, Sep 19 · 5:30 PM CT · Missouri State Bears +4.5 · total 52.5
16pts
Straight up
Marshall Thundering Herd
61% market-implied win probability Slight favorite
Against the spread
Marshall Thundering Herd -4.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Delaware State Hornets at South Florida Bulls

Sat, Sep 19 · 6:00 PM CT · South Florida Bulls -37 · total 61.5
62pts
Straight up
South Florida Bulls
99% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
South Florida Bulls -37
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Florida Gators at Auburn Tigers

Sat, Sep 19 · 6:00 PM CT · Auburn Tigers +2.5 · total 53.5
4pts
Straight up
Florida Gators
56% market-implied win probability Slight favorite
Against the spread
Florida Gators -2.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Georgia Southern Eagles at Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Sat, Sep 19 · 6:00 PM CT · Jacksonville State Gamecocks -3.5 · total 52.5
10pts
Straight up
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
58% market-implied win probability Slight favorite
Against the spread
Jacksonville State Gamecocks -3.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Georgia State Panthers at UCF Knights

Sat, Sep 19 · 6:00 PM CT · UCF Knights -17.5 · total 50.5
36pts
Straight up
UCF Knights
86% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
UCF Knights -17.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Murray State Racers at Oklahoma State Cowboys

Sat, Sep 19 · 6:00 PM CT · Oklahoma State Cowboys -56 · total 70.5
72pts
Straight up
Oklahoma State Cowboys
99% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Oklahoma State Cowboys -56
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Nevada Wolf Pack at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Sat, Sep 19 · 6:00 PM CT · Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +3.5 · total 50.5
12pts
Straight up
Nevada Wolf Pack
58% market-implied win probability Slight favorite
Against the spread
Nevada Wolf Pack -3.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Nicholls State Colonels at Sam Houston State Bearkats

Sat, Sep 19 · 6:00 PM CT · Sam Houston State Bearkats -18 · total 50
38pts
Straight up
Sam Houston State Bearkats
86% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Sam Houston State Bearkats -18
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Ohio Bobcats at South Alabama Jaguars

Sat, Sep 19 · 6:00 PM CT · South Alabama Jaguars -7 · total 49.5
21pts
Straight up
South Alabama Jaguars
66% market-implied win probability Clear favorite
Against the spread
South Alabama Jaguars -7
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Troy Trojans at Missouri Tigers

Sat, Sep 19 · 6:00 PM CT · Missouri Tigers -26.5 · total 50
52pts
Straight up
Missouri Tigers
95% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Missouri Tigers -26.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

UConn Huskies at Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles

Sat, Sep 19 · 6:00 PM CT · Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles +3.5 · total 54.5
9pts
Straight up
UConn Huskies
58% market-implied win probability Slight favorite
Against the spread
UConn Huskies -3.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

UT Martin Skyhawks at Memphis Tigers

Sat, Sep 19 · 6:00 PM CT · Memphis Tigers -35 · total 57
59pts
Straight up
Memphis Tigers
98% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Memphis Tigers -35
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Western Michigan Broncos at Rice Owls

Sat, Sep 19 · 6:00 PM CT · Rice Owls +9.5 · total 43.5
25pts
Straight up
Western Michigan Broncos
72% market-implied win probability Clear favorite
Against the spread
Western Michigan Broncos -9.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Eastern Washington Eagles at Washington Huskies

Sat, Sep 19 · 6:15 PM CT · Washington Huskies -42.5 · total 57
70pts
Straight up
Washington Huskies
99% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Washington Huskies -42.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

North Dakota Fighting Hawks at Nebraska Cornhuskers

Sat, Sep 19 · 6:15 PM CT · Nebraska Cornhuskers -24.5 · total 51
50pts
Straight up
Nebraska Cornhuskers
93% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Nebraska Cornhuskers -24.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

BYU Cougars at Colorado State Rams

Sat, Sep 19 · 6:30 PM CT · Colorado State Rams +17.5 · total 52.5
35pts
Straight up
BYU Cougars
86% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
BYU Cougars -17.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Colorado Buffaloes at Northwestern Wildcats

Sat, Sep 19 · 6:30 PM CT · Northwestern Wildcats -3.5 · total 48.5
11pts
Straight up
Northwestern Wildcats
58% market-implied win probability Slight favorite
Against the spread
Northwestern Wildcats -3.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

LSU Tigers at Ole Miss Rebels

Sat, Sep 19 · 6:30 PM CT · Ole Miss Rebels +3 · total 58.5
6pts
Straight up
LSU Tigers
57% market-implied win probability Slight favorite
Against the spread
LSU Tigers -3
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Michigan State Spartans at Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Sat, Sep 19 · 6:30 PM CT · Notre Dame Fighting Irish -29.5 · total 52.5
55pts
Straight up
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
96% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Notre Dame Fighting Irish -29.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

New Mexico Lobos at Oklahoma Sooners

Sat, Sep 19 · 6:30 PM CT · Oklahoma Sooners -22.5 · total 46.5
44pts
Straight up
Oklahoma Sooners
91% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Oklahoma Sooners -22.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Virginia Cavaliers at West Virginia Mountaineers

Sat, Sep 19 · 6:30 PM CT · West Virginia Mountaineers +10.5 · total 53.5
28pts
Straight up
Virginia Cavaliers
74% market-implied win probability Clear favorite
Against the spread
Virginia Cavaliers -10.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Virginia Tech Hokies at Maryland Terrapins

Sat, Sep 19 · 6:30 PM CT · Maryland Terrapins +3 · total 53.5
5pts
Straight up
Virginia Tech Hokies
57% market-implied win probability Slight favorite
Against the spread
Virginia Tech Hokies -3
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Kennesaw State Owls at Tennessee Volunteers

Sat, Sep 19 · 6:45 PM CT · Tennessee Volunteers -35.5 · total 59.5
61pts
Straight up
Tennessee Volunteers
98% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Tennessee Volunteers -35.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Arkansas State Red Wolves at TCU Horned Frogs

Sat, Sep 19 · 7:00 PM CT · TCU Horned Frogs -20 · total 56.5
41pts
Straight up
TCU Horned Frogs
89% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
TCU Horned Frogs -20
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

East Texas A&M Lions at Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Sat, Sep 19 · 7:00 PM CT · Tulsa Golden Hurricane -42.5 · total 56.5
69pts
Straight up
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
99% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Tulsa Golden Hurricane -42.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

UAB Blazers at Louisiana Ragin Cajuns

Sat, Sep 19 · 7:00 PM CT · Louisiana Ragin Cajuns -7.5 · total 56.5
23pts
Straight up
Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
68% market-implied win probability Clear favorite
Against the spread
Louisiana Ragin Cajuns -7.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

UTSA Roadrunners at Texas Longhorns

Sat, Sep 19 · 7:00 PM CT · Texas Longhorns -30.5 · total 58.5
56pts
Straight up
Texas Longhorns
97% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Texas Longhorns -30.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

James Madison Dukes at San Diego State Aztecs

Sat, Sep 19 · 9:00 PM CT · San Diego State Aztecs -2.5 · total 46.5
3pts
Straight up
San Diego State Aztecs
56% market-implied win probability Slight favorite
Against the spread
San Diego State Aztecs -2.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

South Dakota Coyotes at Boise State Broncos

Sat, Sep 19 · 9:00 PM CT · Boise State Broncos -24 · total 56
47pts
Straight up
Boise State Broncos
93% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Boise State Broncos -24
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

North Dakota State Bison at Sacramento State Hornets

Sat, Sep 19 · 9:30 PM CT · Sacramento State Hornets +27.5 · total 51
53pts
Straight up
North Dakota State Bison
95% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
North Dakota State Bison -27.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Northern Illinois Huskies at Arizona Wildcats

Sat, Sep 19 · 9:30 PM CT · Arizona Wildcats -34.5 · total 49.5
58pts
Straight up
Arizona Wildcats
98% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Arizona Wildcats -34.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Fresno State Bulldogs at San Jose State Spartans

Sat, Sep 19 · 10:00 PM CT · San Jose State Spartans +6.5 · total 50.5
20pts
Straight up
Fresno State Bulldogs
65% market-implied win probability Clear favorite
Against the spread
Fresno State Bulldogs -6.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Montana Grizzlies at Oregon State Beavers

Sat, Sep 19 · 10:00 PM CT · Oregon State Beavers -17.5 · total 52.5
34pts
Straight up
Oregon State Beavers
86% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
Oregon State Beavers -17.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

Purdue Boilermakers at UCLA Bruins

Sat, Sep 19 · 10:00 PM CT · UCLA Bruins -14.5 · total 53.5
30pts
Straight up
UCLA Bruins
81% market-implied win probability Heavy favorite
Against the spread
UCLA Bruins -14.5
Coin flip at this number. We list the side the market prices as stronger.

How the College Football percentage is worked out: the market spread, mapped to a win probability by a normal final-margin model (sigma 16.5, fallback). Nothing else goes in. Where you see "give or take", that is the honest margin on the number, in percentage points; two picks closer together than that are a tie, not a ranking. We never print 0 or 100 percent, because neither is ever true. Spreads shown are the average of the books we watch, to the nearest half point, so your book or your pool sheet may sit half a point either side.

Questions

What is Weekly Picks?

A pick for every NFL and college football game this week, two ways: who wins the game outright, and who covers the spread. Free, no account needed.

Do you have an edge on picking outright winners?

No. The win probability shown is market-implied, derived from the market point spread and nothing else. The market is efficient at pricing outright winners and we have not demonstrated we beat it there.

Do you have an edge against the spread?

No. A spread is priced so both sides are close to a coin flip. We publish a full against-the-spread card because people are in spread pools and need one, not because we can beat the number.

My pool freezes its spreads on Wednesday. Is that worth something?

Almost never. We tested it across 166 games and freezing the line changed which side covered in 2 of them. You can enter your pool numbers on the page and we will flag the handful of games where your number is genuinely different from today.

How do I use this for a confidence pool?

Switch the card to confidence order. It ranks the same picks by how sure the market is, so your highest point value lands on the game the market is most certain about.

On numbers we do not show

You will not find a win-loss record or a return figure on this page. Published performance numbers come from one place at Sharp Plays and it is not here, so nothing on this page is going to quote you one it made up.